Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 88.625007 98.886622 109.357649 120.810911 132.955870 145.421778 159.155459
2025-03-09 73.228973 88.053655 103.822227 121.720663 141.354677 162.127804 185.659563
2025-03-16 62.423219 79.585293 98.427446 120.399685 145.081409 171.734989 202.482622
2025-03-23 55.907375 74.976969 96.482101 122.118599 151.463010 183.656202 221.307798
2025-03-30 50.879048 71.465908 95.247624 124.147642 157.760065 195.123045 239.313827
2025-04-06 45.163714 66.586404 91.953393 123.376553 160.497349 202.282117 252.227789
2025-04-13 39.302218 61.021624 87.415303 120.754313 160.753097 206.333186 261.371772
2025-04-20 37.302682 60.140946 88.414085 124.616589 168.513638 218.951092 280.268151
2025-04-27 34.869699 58.483743 88.283158 126.968888 174.374283 229.287054 296.485453
2025-05-04 31.384559 55.156328 85.831513 126.282225 176.438021 235.059598 307.313699
2025-05-11 28.100766 51.850397 83.205011 125.202719 177.881873 239.988606 317.066471
2025-05-18 25.869666 49.851869 82.153334 126.001498 181.539104 247.489147 329.801437
2025-05-25 23.407352 47.371206 80.371770 125.822376 183.989568 253.588614 340.970620
2025-06-01 21.477546 45.535904 79.359267 126.562188 187.536737 260.988135 353.688148
2025-06-08 19.054678 42.742308 76.873587 125.241465 188.388226 265.037157 362.338095
2025-06-15 17.798903 41.686590 76.748015 126.996163 193.104068 273.785657 376.630974
2025-06-22 16.739591 40.863469 76.894805 129.074212 198.207996 283.001014 391.492145
2025-06-29 14.965261 38.694197 74.988430 128.284724 199.555745 287.535989 400.651861
2025-07-06 12.862790 35.749166 71.790080 125.600087 198.344921 288.819419 405.792717
2025-07-13 12.570814 36.016555 73.385515 129.554112 205.818001 300.950892 424.217282
2025-07-20 11.930155 35.586452 73.889167 131.961736 211.249900 310.528973 439.525942
2025-07-27 10.635676 33.800366 72.228653 131.258966 212.526360 314.854225 448.359084
2025-08-03 9.369667 31.927798 70.337801 130.154067 213.211966 318.394121 456.196098